Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction and betting tips (January 28)

Emmanuel Ifabiyi
By Emmanuel Ifabiyi

We are set to witness a battle between one of the two best quarterbacks in NFL history as the Patrick Mahomes’ Chiefs visit Baltimore and Lamar Jackson in the AFC Conference finals. The stakes are at an all-time high as the winner of this game will be the favourite to win the Super Bowl; this is indeed the battle of the greats!

The reigning Super Bowl victors, the Kansas City Chiefs, secured a thrilling victory against Miami during the Wildcard Round, followed by a remarkable triumph in Buffalo during the Divisional Round, where they clinched a stunning 27-24 win.  On the other hand, the top-seeded Baltimore Ravens enjoyed the luxury of a bye week as the top seed before effortlessly dispatching Houston with a commanding 34-10 victory. As the Kansas City Chiefs strive to defend their coveted Super Bowl title, the Baltimore Ravens are fueled by the burning desire to return to the grand stage of the NFL championship game, aiming to recapture the glory they last tasted in 2012 when they secured their second Super Bowl victory in franchise history. Both teams’ stakes are undeniably high, each driven by their ambitions and legacies within the league.

The match is scheduled to start at 15:00 ET on Sunday, 28 January 2024. The game time by GMT is 08:00 p.m. GMT on Sunday, January 28. The match venue is M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland.

Betting tips and match predictions for the Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens (January 28) game are available in this article. The latest betting odds, key stats, team news, and projected starting lineups are previewed below.

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs latest odds on betting sites 

The Baltimore Ravens’ moneyline odds are priced at 1.48 (-210 American), while the Kansas City Chiefs’ moneyline odds are priced at 2.85 (+185). 

Over/Under:

Over 46.0 points: 2.10 (+110)

Under 46.0 points: 1.91 (-110)

Spread:

Baltimore Ravens -4.0: 1.91 (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs +4.0: 1.95 (-105)

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs match preview and statistics

Baltimore Ravens

In the opening half, the Ravens encountered frustration as the Texans unleashed a barrage of blitzes, finding considerable success. However, the tide turned in the second half, with the Ravens mounting an impressive offensive surge, scoring on four consecutive possessions following halftime.

Lamar Jackson concluded the game with a stellar 16-for-22 passing record, amassing 152 yards through the air and two touchdowns while showcasing his rushing prowess with 100 yards and two additional scores. The Ravens’ ground game proved dominant, accumulating 229 yards.

Although not marked by overwhelming turnovers and sacks, the Ravens’ defense effectively stifled the Texans’ offensive efforts for most of the match. Conceding only one field goal, the Ravens limited the Texans to minimal offensive production, with the lone touchdown stemming from a Sims punt return. Also, they forced Texans QB C.J. Stroud to a 51.4% dropback in the game, the worst the QB has ever recorded in his career.

Particularly formidable against the run, linebacker Roquan Smith tallied a pair of tackles for loss. At the same time, interior defensive lineman Justin Madubuike contributed with one of his own, underscoring the Ravens’ defensive prowess and ability to disrupt opposing offenses.

The Baltimore Ravens team news: Tight end Mark Andrews, cornerbacks Marlon Humphrey, Rock Ya-Sin, and wide receiver Tylan Wallace are questionable for the game.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs clinched a spot in the AFC Championship Game for the sixth straight season by narrowly defeating the Bills 27-24. Patrick Mahomes had a standout performance, completing 17 of 23 passes for 215 yards and two touchdowns, both caught by Travis Kelce. This victory marked Mahomes’ first successful road playoff game.

Isiah Pacheco led the rushing unit with 95 yards on only 15 carries to finish the game with a touchdown in a dominant performance by the running back. Rashee Rice was clutch as he caught four from four targets and finished the game with 47 yards. 

The game was a tense battle between two top AFC teams, especially around halftime. Still, the Chiefs’ defense stepped up when it counted—despite the formidable offense led by Josh Allen, Kansas City’s defense made key plays, including forcing a crucial turnover on downs, executing a timely three-and-out, and ultimately preventing Buffalo from scoring with a missed field goal in the final minutes.

The Kansas City Chiefs team news: Running back Isaiah Pacheco, cornerback L’Jarius Sneed, wide receiver Kadarius Toney, defensive tackle Derrick Nnadi, and linebacker Willie Gay are questionable for this game.

Chiefs vs Ravens H2H

When the regular season and postseason are considered, the number of games played between the Ravens and Chiefs is 12. The Ravens have won only five times, while the Chiefs have won 7. They faced off once in the playoffs, and the Ravens won the game.

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs key players

Lamar Jackson: Undoubtedly the regular season MVP, Jackson has been on a tear this year. He’s looking for his maiden Super Bowl title and is on the right path. In the last game, he scored two touchdowns of his own, showing how lethal a quarterback he is. He was the team leader in throwing yards per game (229.9) and running yards per game (51.3) this season.

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has thrown for 4183 yards this season and completes passes 67.2% of the time. His 14 interceptions rank fifth in the NFL, and his 28 touchdowns rank eighth. Mahomes ranks in the top 10 in completion percentage and has a 92.6 passer rating. Mahomes has led the Chiefs to two Superbowl titles, and there’s immense confidence in him to repeat the feat!

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens predictions

Patrick Mahomes is undoubtedly a key asset for the Chiefs, but uncertainties arise regarding his supporting cast. Baltimore’s defensive prowess is particularly evident in the red zone, where they limit opponents to 16.5 points per game. With the league’s sixth-best passing defence, the Ravens can apply consistent pressure on Mahomes, disrupting his rhythm and forcing hurried decisions.

Notably, the Ravens led the NFL in sacks this season, totalling an impressive 60 as a team. This formidable pass rush will likely compel Mahomes into quick throws, limiting his opportunities for deep strikes down the field and tipping the scales in favour of Baltimore. Also, we are tipping the Chiefs’ defense to struggle against Lamar Jackson’s rushes and ultimately lose this game.

Predictions for the game are the Baltimore Ravens to cover the spread, and the game will be over 46.0 points.

Betting prediction: Baltimore Ravens -4.0

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American)

Betting prediction: Over 46.0 points

Odds: 2.10 (+110 American)